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Lex Fridman · 2021-06-14

Daniel Schmachtenberger: Steering Civilization Away from Self-Destruction | Lex Fridman Podcast #191

Daniel Schmachtenberger maps why every powerful civilization self-terminates and how love, better sense-making, and emergent governance could steer humanity past extinction.

Daniel Schmachtenberger: Steering Civilization Away from Self-Destruction | Lex Fridman Podcast #191
The guest

Daniel Schmachtenberger: Founding member of the Consilience Project focused on improving public sense-making and dialogue. A systems thinker known for work on existential risk, civilizational collapse, and how societies can responsibly steward exponential technology.

What this episode covers

Lex Fridman and Daniel Schmachtenberger range from aliens and consciousness to the core question of how human civilization avoids self-destruction. Schmachtenberger argues that exponential technology creates catastrophic risks (war/arms races and runaway externalities) that our old social technologies cannot contain. He frames most civilizations as self-terminating systems that debase their own substrate, and contends the post-WWII Bretton Woods order is failing. His proposed path forward is 'social technology' that enables emergent (not imposed) order, comprehensive civic education, fiduciary-aligned tech, and a cultural renaissance, with rigorous empathy and 'compersion' (joy at others' success) as guiding human values.

Recommended on this episode

MediaRecommended

Diablo

Blizzard Entertainment

“one of my favorite games”
“I played one of my favorite games Diablo is like slashing through different monsters and the screaming and pain and the Hellfire”— host

Also referenced (named, not recommended)

BookReferencedISBN verified

Free Will

Sam Harris

“I remember when reading when Sam Harris wrote the book Free Will and then denet critiqued it and then there was some writing back and forth”— guest
BookReferencedISBN verified

A New Kind of Science

Stephen Wolfram

“ETS more um wol from is a new kind of science I have only skimmed and read reviews of and not read the whole thing”— guest
BookReferencedISBN verified

Reinventing the Sacred

Stuart Kauffman

“one of Kaufman's you know more recent books after investigations and some of the real fundamental stuff was called Reinventing the sacred”— guest
BookReferenced

Investigations

Stuart Kauffman

“one of Kaufman's you know more recent books after investigations and some of the real fundamental stuff was called Reinventing the sacred”— guest
MediaReferenced

Doom

id Software

“I love playing shooter games you know uh first person shooters and like especially if it's like murdering zombie and doom you're shooting demons”— host
BookReferencedISBN verified

The Collapse of Complex Societies

Joseph Tainter

“it's worth looking at books like um the collapse of complex societies by Joseph tainter it does an analysis of that”— guest
BookReferencedISBN verified

Simulacra and Simulation

Jean Baudrillard

“bodard in simulation and simulacra looks at a very different way of looking at how institutional decay in the collective intelligence of a system happens”— guest
BookReferencedISBN verified

Collapse

Jared Diamond

“Jared diamond made a more popular book called collapse”— guest
BookReferencedISBN verified

Engines of Creation

Eric Drexler

“I actually really respect Drexler for emphasizing greu in engines of creation back in the day um to make sure the world was paying adequate attention to the risks”— guest
BookReferencedISBN verified

Industrial Society and Its Future (Unabomber Manifesto)

Ted Kaczynski

“you read the uni bombers Manifesto on why technology can't not result in our self-termination so we have to take it out before it gets any further”— guest
BookReferencedISBN verified

Cultural Materialism

Marvin Harris

“Marvin Harris's work called cultural materialism looked at this deeply obviously Marshall mclan looked specifically at the way that information Technologies change”— guest

Big reveals from this episode

  • Schmachtenberger argues that if UFOs are alien tech, they'd be 'the dumbest version of alien technology', truly advanced aliens would be imperceptible to us.
  • He states he does NOT believe consciousness is an emergent property of biology, treating first-person and third-person as ontologically orthogonal.
  • An Aboriginal Australian scholar's critique that Girard 'just made shit up', tribes resolved conflict by dancing around the fire, no scapegoating needed.
  • Core thesis: human civilization is a self-terminating system that debases the very substrate it depends on.
  • He says it's easy for any competent person to devise ways to kill many people, yet pro-social human nature keeps mass murder rare.
  • His favorite civilizational health metric is the inverse of addiction, the more addiction a society produces, the less healthy it is.
  • He warns corporations are becoming more powerful than nation states, creating a 'new feudalism' that debases democracies.
  • Schmachtenberger admits embarrassment over a militant New-Atheist phase in his 20s when he was dismissive of his father's epistemology.

Worth remembering

  • Lex calculated the brain does ~20 quadrillion synaptic operations per second on roughly three bananas of energy, about a million times a state-of-the-art CPU.
  • Human infants take a year to walk versus 20 minutes for a horse, we are essentially fetal on the outside because of upright hips and big heads.
  • Humans aren't apex predators but 'in-apex predators', a mile-long drift net depletes entire schools, something no orca can do.
  • We went from two superpowers with one catastrophe weapon to eight or nine nuclear states plus cheap, decentralized catastrophe weapons like armed drones.
  • Compersion, feeling genuine happiness at another's success, is so rare in English it lacks a common word, which he calls a cultural problem.
  • The ox-drawn plow ended animism, shifted caloric production to men, and skewed religions toward male gods, feminism later 'followed the tractor.'
  • Washington reportedly said the federal government's number one aim should be comprehensive education of citizens in the 'science of government.'
  • A founding-era idea that 'voting is the death of democracy', real democracy was crafting propositions together in the town hall, not just voting yes/no.
  • He warns regulation of self-replicating or autopoetic AI must come early, since by the time harm is visible it can't be reversed.
  • Both Lex and Daniel independently describe a psychedelic experience of crying at a tree's undistorted beauty once the mind's narrative shut off.