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Diary of a CEO · 2026-02-23

Uber CEO: I Have To Be Honest, AI Will Replace 9.4 Million Jobs At Uber! - Dara Khosrowshahi

Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi on his refugee childhood, relentless work ethic, brutal honesty as leadership, and AI's coming displacement of 9.4 million Uber jobs.

Uber CEO: I Have To Be Honest, AI Will Replace 9.4 Million Jobs At Uber! - Dara Khosrowshahi
The guest

Dara Khosrowshahi: CEO of Uber since 2017, who turned it from billions in annual losses to roughly $9.8 billion in free cash flow. Previously CEO of Expedia for 12 years and an investment banker at Allen & Company.

What this episode covers

Khosrowshahi traces his path from fleeing Iran as a child during the 1978 revolution, through investment banking under mentor Barry Diller, to running Expedia and then Uber. He lays out his philosophy of company-building: betting on people, radical transparency, embracing the grind, taking smart risks, and treating a company as an engineering machine that must improve faster than competitors. The back half confronts AI head-on, with Khosrowshahi predicting AI will be capable of replacing 70-80% of human work within 10-20 years, including most of Uber's 9.5 million drivers. He refuses the standard CEO reassurance that society will simply adapt, calling job retraining a real unanswered question. He closes on meaning, his late father, and advice to work hard and not over-plan a career.

Also referenced (named, not recommended)

ProductReferenced

Tesla

Tesla

“I have a Tesla in LA where I live, and it's staggering that I can get in the car, press the button, and drive 2 and 1/2 hours to Joshua Tree”— Steven Bartlett
ProductReferenced

Waymo

Waymo (Alphabet)

“by all accounts, Waymo drivers are safer than human beings, and that's going to be true of AV all over the world”— Dara Khosrowshahi
ProductReferenced

Nvidia GPUs

Nvidia

“instead of adding an engineer, I should add agents and buy some more GPUs from Nvidia. That may be the investment in the future”— Dara Khosrowshahi
ProductReferenced

Gemini Pro 3

Google

“every single day, literally daily, we try to see if the new model, Gemini Pro 3 or whatever, can do things that we're currently doing manually”— Steven Bartlett

Big reveals from this episode

  • Breaks down recalling revolutionary guards' bullets going through his family's living room in Iran, forcing them to flee to the US.
  • Admits that despite his professional toughness, he cannot handle rejection or conflict in his personal life and is conflict-avoidant.
  • Reveals he went 0-for-2 hiring leaders for Expedia's biggest business, then ran it himself for 5-6 years to learn the job.
  • Three months into the Expedia role, his head of HR told him he was scaring people.
  • Claims AI will be able to replace the work 70-80% of humans do within 10 years for intellectual jobs, 15-20 years for physical jobs.
  • Says about 90% of Uber's coders now use AI, with 30% as power users showing dramatically higher productivity.
  • States Waymo and autonomous drivers are safer than humans and could cut the ~1 million annual global driving deaths dramatically.
  • Won't give the standard 'everyone will figure it out' AI reassurance, saying he hears far more disruption privately than CEOs admit on CNBC or at Davos.

Worth remembering

  • Uber generates about $8.5 billion in annual free cash flow (Khosrowshahi corrects to $9.8 billion in the last year), up from $2.5-3 billion in annual losses when he joined.
  • At Expedia, the stock rose 550% and sales grew 400% from $2.1 billion to $8.8 billion over his 12 years; he was the highest-paid US tech CEO at $94.1 million.
  • Uber's core idea came from Garrett Camp unable to find a black car on a snowy day in Paris; Travis Kalanick became the operator.
  • Uber has about 9.5 million drivers and couriers; Khosrowshahi says the second-largest organized workforce is the Chinese army.
  • Uber runs about 40 million trips a day, all orchestrated by small AI models trained on local problems and stitched together.
  • The only original Uber value to survive Khosrowshahi's reset was 'do the right thing, period,' which he wrote himself rather than crowdsourcing.
  • Some Uber teams built a 'Dara AI' to rehearse presentations before pitching the real CEO.
  • Spotify founder Daniel Ek pushed him to take the Uber job, saying 'since when is life about being happy? It's about making impact.'
  • His father's advice on the offer: 'when a company who's a verb tells you to run it, you just say yes.'
  • Cites an Australian study of male suicide notes finding the dominant sentiment was a loss of feeling worthy of providing for family.